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Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under46c63,599$29,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,408.281136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over61c42,459$25,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,718.472128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over53c11,251$5,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,335.4338039.7%151 W · 229 L+1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over48c10,767$5,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,600.648361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under52c10,142$5,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,270.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under1c8,250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c8,238$4,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,873.72,02339.4%798 W · 1,225 L-10.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under1c2,893$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.932931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under59c2,588$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.4636827.4%101 W · 267 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa598…aa4fbacked Under10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under19c2,025$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.583528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd63d…75a1backed Over37c1,466$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7504348.8%21 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick29cpaid+83.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under1c1,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over79c1,206$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8191…da72backed Under78c1,104$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e7…9461backed Over51c1,063$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.55633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under1c1,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+88.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under38c1,007$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.53119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-74.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over50c988.03$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over68c853.43$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.9624846.4%115 W · 133 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under22c846$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.121181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.35per pick47cpaid+70.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under44c797.88$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.231553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under24c629.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1914846.6%69 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over44c610$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.61650%8 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+25.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over49c582.14$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.771050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under21c550.3$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.847856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under21c508.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8744654.7%244 W · 202 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over44c499.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c475.21$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5355038.9%214 W · 336 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over79c454.77$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.52867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Under73c424.52$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8a…61c3backed Over54c397.94$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under66c388.64$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.58050%40 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under28c360.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.692669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f3e…264dbacked Over62c353.19$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over45c305.21$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8712722.8%29 W · 98 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d5…5678backed Over33c303.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.61887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+70.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under26c269.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over50c252.81$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.411060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under53c204.72$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c180$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8734853.7%187 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under77c153.39$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-62.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754040%16 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Under67c149.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under20c148.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.757634.2%26 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Under67c147.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Under48c139.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.875349.1%26 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254465.9%29 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Over55c123.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over34c121.7$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3241841.1%172 W · 246 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over28c120$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.418454.9%101 W · 83 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over53c116.61$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7391243.3%395 W · 517 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over55c115$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7531352.1%163 W · 150 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Over70c113.73$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Under42c113.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.721323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd47e…4e60backed Over61c96.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.823100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf436…4591backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe010…594dbacked Over48c91.02$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under24c85.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Under48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under17c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over79c79$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.594447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under30c74.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under45c73.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.323250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf740…bbdabacked Over55c72.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.433850%19 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Under70c70.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Under57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Under53c69.58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over30c66.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over42c62.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1532959%194 W · 135 L+28.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over24c62.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.51414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x819d…0341backed Over79c61.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb329…62cebacked Over65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d3…a568backed Over80c56.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over31c55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.954858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over46c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.525367.9%36 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x23fe…0b95backed Over79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58f…cec8backed Over51c44.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06a…101dbacked Under69c44.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462850%14 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5dd…490bbacked Over79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.045257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over79c36.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5911636.2%42 W · 74 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under54c31.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.813262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under59c31.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.311154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over76c28.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.814242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5c…d463backed Over59c27.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x941b…dc0bbacked Over79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd59f…dd3fbacked Over52c23.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccad…46ecbacked Over79c22.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.