Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Dalma Galfi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09a733418f8b64da68ce8d3566c46766877c36593e26bb015bb57d0b8a191250
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mirra Andreevaof Mirra Andreeva, Dalma Galfi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dalma Galfi | 14c | 16,712$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dalma Galfi | 9c | 11,440$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.11 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Dalma Galfi | 0c | 6,655$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dalma Galfi | 9c | 5,973$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dalma Galfi | 10c | 5,347$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.37 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Dalma Galfi | 4c | 5,007$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.06 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dalma Galfi | 8c | 3,285$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.47 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dalma Galfi | 12c | 2,841$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.91 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Dalma Galfi | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373d…303fbacked Dalma Galfi | 15c | 2,367$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dalma Galfi | 8c | 2,338$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Dalma Galfi | 14c | 1,787$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.14 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Dalma Galfi | 23c | 1,708$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.48 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Dalma Galfi | 15c | 1,202$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Dalma Galfi | 13c | 1,137$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Dalma Galfi | 13c | 1,022$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Dalma Galfi | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dalma Galfi | 3c | 846$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Dalma Galfi | 13c | 799.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dalma Galfi | 10c | 699.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Dalma Galfi | 12c | 695.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Mirra Andreeva | 76c | 648.42$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dalma Galfi | 12c | 625$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Dalma Galfi | 7c | 550.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Dalma Galfi | 11c | 449.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Dalma Galfi | 13c | 419.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dalma Galfi | 12c | 419$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Dalma Galfi | 18c | 359.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Dalma Galfi | 14c | 338.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Dalma Galfi | 5c | 297.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Dalma Galfi | 16c | 296.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Dalma Galfi | 13c | 276.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Mirra Andreeva | 75c | 261.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Dalma Galfi | 10c | 251.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dalma Galfi | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Dalma Galfi | 23c | 208.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Dalma Galfi | 7c | 203.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Dalma Galfi | 13c | 194.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Dalma Galfi | 15c | 194.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…f068backed Mirra Andreeva | 76c | 189.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Dalma Galfi | 13c | 179.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Dalma Galfi | 10c | 173.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Dalma Galfi | 10c | 166.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Dalma Galfi | 12c | 153.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…71c6backed Mirra Andreeva | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed Dalma Galfi | 11c | 130.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Mirra Andreeva | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Dalma Galfi | 9c | 122.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Dalma Galfi | 15c | 117.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Dalma Galfi | 13c | 111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…96fcbacked Dalma Galfi | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Dalma Galfi | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Dalma Galfi | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…6744backed Dalma Galfi | 15c | 89.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Dalma Galfi | 12c | 88.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…a821backed Mirra Andreeva | 78c | 83.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Dalma Galfi | 14c | 80.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dalma Galfi | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…8c7bbacked Mirra Andreeva | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Mirra Andreeva | 77c | 53.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…5130backed Dalma Galfi | 26c | 46.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Mirra Andreeva | 73c | 46.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Mirra Andreeva | 80c | 30.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Mirra Andreeva | 74c | 27.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Mirra Andreeva | 74c | 22.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 437 | 52.2%228 W · 209 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Dalma Galfithis page
- Andreeva vs. Galfi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Mirra Andreeva vs. Dalma Galfi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Galfi (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.