Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c7057ca2d2fdb191c508b4731dba99795634dcd802211a9815eeda330394ff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Spirit Academy, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Spirit Academy | 4c | 12,455$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.3 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Inner Circle | 78c | 5,358$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.64 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Spirit Academy | 22c | 3,493$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.46 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Spirit Academy | 1c | 2,226$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Spirit Academy | 22c | 515.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Spirit Academy | 5c | 515.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed Spirit Academy | 22c | 433.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Spirit Academy | 26c | 389.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Inner Circle | 79c | 240$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Inner Circle | 73c | 223.57$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Spirit Academy | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Spirit Academy | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed Spirit Academy | 22c | 149.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Inner Circle | 75c | 148$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Inner Circle | 75c | 148$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7386…b1debacked Spirit Academy | 27c | 143.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 127.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Inner Circle | 74c | 120.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Spirit Academy | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Spirit Academy | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ba6dbacked Spirit Academy | 33c | 98.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Spirit Academy | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Spirit Academy | 24c | 84.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Spirit Academy | 22c | 81.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle | 78c | 81.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked Spirit Academy | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Inner Circle | 77c | 71.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…9c13backed Spirit Academy | 17c | 63.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…b3fabacked Spirit Academy | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Inner Circle | 78c | 56.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…e0ddbacked Spirit Academy | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Inner Circle | 79c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c9…ac4abacked Spirit Academy | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…5f03backed Spirit Academy | 31c | 36.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Inner Circle | 71c | 35.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…38f2backed Spirit Academy | 32c | 31.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…ae86backed Spirit Academy | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…e6cabacked Inner Circle | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…504ebacked Inner Circle | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Inner Circle | 79c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.