TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Lindenwood Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lindenwood Lionsof UT Martin Skyhawks, Lindenwood Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,675 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed UT Martin Skyhawks37c2,654$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.833,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UT Martin Skyhawks34c2,371$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.871,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lindenwood Lions50c1,753$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked UT Martin Skyhawks2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20300%0 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Lindenwood Lions36c948.49$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.9149345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lindenwood Lions64c888.76$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.521,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lindenwood Lions59c851.62$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.961,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lindenwood Lions64c713.25$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.893,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lindenwood Lions67c607.32$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.494,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lindenwood Lions43c467.05$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.882,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UT Martin Skyhawks51c351.97$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.83,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf878…05c1backed UT Martin Skyhawks14c265$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1120%0 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Lindenwood Lions54c232$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10745351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UT Martin Skyhawks26c211$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.361,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UT Martin Skyhawks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UT Martin Skyhawks48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Lindenwood Lions51c195.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Lindenwood Lions52c192.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.411,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed UT Martin Skyhawks31c190.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5138343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UT Martin Skyhawks33c187.3$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.761,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed UT Martin Skyhawks29c175.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.022,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked UT Martin Skyhawks52c153.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Lindenwood Lions48c141.41$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UT Martin Skyhawks43c135.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.022,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UT Martin Skyhawks26c126.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.561,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UT Martin Skyhawks50c115$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UT Martin Skyhawks34c106.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.995,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed UT Martin Skyhawks48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed UT Martin Skyhawks50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed UT Martin Skyhawks38c89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.77844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lindenwood Lions59c89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.282,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…ad0cbacked Lindenwood Lions30c88.58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.922560%15 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+71.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lindenwood Lions50c71.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7540755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Lindenwood Lions26c50.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.571,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed UT Martin Skyhawks52c50.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.431,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked UT Martin Skyhawks57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.525337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c44…93efbacked UT Martin Skyhawks29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-79.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Lindenwood Lions50c48.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3124340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked UT Martin Skyhawks51c48.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Lindenwood Lions70c44.29$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2925544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Lindenwood Lions48c42.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0968254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked UT Martin Skyhawks47c40.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0271655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Lindenwood Lions58c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc766…c4d9backed Lindenwood Lions50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed UT Martin Skyhawks47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0312748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed UT Martin Skyhawks37c29.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.921,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Lindenwood Lions63c28.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5270349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed UT Martin Skyhawks39c28.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9129954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed Lindenwood Lions63c27.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lindenwood Lions51c21.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.762,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Lindenwood Lions53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Lindenwood Lions57c17.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4513350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.