TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Pistons, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,641 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Magic76c22,303$16,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,382.8315056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab15…dd2fbacked Pistons2c14,052$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.474712.8%6 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic80c12,466$9,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.9959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6096…c721backed Pistons26c7,683$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.092020%4 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-55.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Pistons17c7,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30013920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc2…8f30backed Pistons7c6,041$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128e…a35bbacked Pistons24c5,500$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.993724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pistons21c5,433$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.4470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pistons1c3,640$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.371,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pistons18c3,611$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.2661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Pistons16c3,245$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52512841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons27c2,343$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.4465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Magic78c2,200$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48437954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Pistons12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons22c2,050$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons15c2,042$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.561,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Pistons14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Pistons1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010833.3%36 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Pistons15c1,950$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Pistons20c1,886$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.228417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons28c1,885$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.81,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pistons21c1,747$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.3746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Pistons15c1,661$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5545135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Pistons1c1,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.254573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed Magic78c1,384$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.488144.4%36 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Pistons22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Pistons22c1,295$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28519350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Pistons32c1,253$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Pistons25c1,248$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7612131.4%38 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons20c1,217$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.51,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79b…107abacked Pistons23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pistons23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Pistons22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Pistons21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3072…86b6backed Magic78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+88.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons21c999.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Pistons22c998.77$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.141957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Pistons9c918.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1623835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Pistons23c863.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Pistons21c834.38$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.511459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Pistons7c800$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9934644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Magic80c780.96$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.191947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6f…7cdabacked Pistons2c772.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe456…ad4fbacked Magic74c710.5$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.741266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Pistons27c700$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1898548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Pistons10c699.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Magic77c670.9$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3112040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Pistons15c638.48$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8314233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7b6…d93bbacked Pistons17c591.48$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.551127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Pistons12c565.21$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.175543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Pistons24c558.04$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9338132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Magic79c554.44$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8915034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Pistons22c539.92$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.789625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Magic74c534.21$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Pistons25c527.23$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6610334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Magic79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10512154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Pistons18c500$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b52…2c31backed Pistons24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6597…53b3backed Magic76c485$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.252157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65e1…b599backed Pistons15c465.91$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2df2…29cebacked Pistons10c464.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Pistons24c460$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.45820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a1…cde2backed Pistons12c430.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-62.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Magic77c410.61$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.447354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pistons22c410.57$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3319642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x577e…32d0backed Pistons22c409.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Magic79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8411146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Pistons14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Magic78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Magic73c383.45$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7385347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Pistons22c357.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6911250%56 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Magic80c350.31$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.313259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d3…3078backed Magic73c332.86$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…8d13backed Magic73c324.67$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Pistons24c299.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9920233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33b1…9f83backed Magic77c295.53$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+86.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pistons20c269.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8117244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418d…8319backed Magic79c261.19$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.021266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00b…2a91backed Magic77c259.08$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.591764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Magic78c231.9$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0226933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Magic80c225.64$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.641,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36ed…6950backed Pistons22c225.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Magic79c225$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0570951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Pistons22c222$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8420245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a4…eeaabacked Pistons23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011636.2%42 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0397…9c15backed Pistons23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Pistons17c211.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Pistons18c208.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5725851.6%133 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Pistons24c207.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6880…8abebacked Magic78c205$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Pistons21c204.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8511834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Pistons10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pistons18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3665218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Magic79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4234548.7%168 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab25…aad2backed Pistons23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46319.7%3 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-76.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Magic78c199.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446262.9%39 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66f3…9d12backed Pistons22c188.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-75.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ceb…0c87backed Magic75c187.2$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.87251.4%37 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf6…5c9bbacked Pistons22c181.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Magic78c180$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.623956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.