MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c73b7f1f668f5d067716ab556a0dd7f80d769069452c9ceede79f807e3b047c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Cardinals | 44c | 223,512$98,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,240.11 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yankees | 56c | 161,200$90,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,928 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees | 56c | 53,354$29,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,475.76 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Cardinals | 44c | 28,358$12,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,477.52 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 56c | 25,937$14,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,324.92 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 56c | 10,900$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Yankees | 56c | 10,555$5,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,644.2 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yankees | 79c | 8,303$6,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.43 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Yankees | 56c | 7,805$4,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.94 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 57c | 5,250$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.15 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 56c | 4,670$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.92 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Yankees | 56c | 3,719$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.34 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 12c | 3,183$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Cardinals | 26c | 2,769$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.94 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Cardinals | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 42c | 2,235$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.08 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cardinals | 44c | 2,000$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.73 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 56c | 1,874$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.56 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cardinals | 15c | 1,374$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.39 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 9c | 1,133$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…e0a5backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,085$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…8963backed Yankees | 55c | 1,080$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa687…23e2backed Yankees | 55c | 1,070$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…ee40backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,065$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cardinals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cardinals | 43c | 970$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.1 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Cardinals | 18c | 780.27$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 12c | 699.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cardinals | 13c | 698.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 9c | 671.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Cardinals | 12c | 660$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 43c | 626$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.18 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Yankees | 80c | 614.6$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 46c | 548.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 16c | 547.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yankees | 57c | 526$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Cardinals | 45c | 495.78$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 33c | 456.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yankees | 55c | 430.26$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.62 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Cardinals | 44c | 425$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cardinals | 14c | 405.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 67c | 358.51$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Cardinals | 46c | 356$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 44c | 349.89$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yankees | 70c | 348.9$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 44c | 345$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 330.68$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 13c | 234.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Cardinals | 11c | 229.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 45c | 229.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 7c | 224.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 14c | 219.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 44c | 211.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cardinals | 19c | 204$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 45c | 186.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yankees | 56c | 178$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Cardinals | 13c | 168.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Cardinals | 22c | 156$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 29c | 149$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 32c | 140$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Cardinals | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Cardinals | 46c | 130.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yankees | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yankees | 57c | 119.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Yankees | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…4dc8backed Cardinals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…d427backed Yankees | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…3646backed Cardinals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f8…43cbbacked Yankees | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…8ff6backed Yankees | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…6234backed Cardinals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…b608backed Yankees | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…2f2abacked Cardinals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…3fc8backed Yankees | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…da0cbacked Yankees | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a1…e2a9backed Cardinals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cardinals | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Cardinals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cb…b14bbacked Cardinals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Cardinals | 45c | 89.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Cardinals | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 20c | 84.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Yankees | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Cardinals | 14c | 77.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yankees | 56c | 59.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cardinals | 45c | 56.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.