Tennis · resolved market
ATP Cincinnati - Medjedovic vs. Alcaraz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5247715fe41a0ebca7b01485d0beaac40067421f7d4de38596aff1463586c57a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Medjedovic, Alcaraz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Medjedovic | 6c | 7,584$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.71 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Medjedovic | 17c | 5,969$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Medjedovic | 11c | 2,894$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Medjedovic | 14c | 2,659$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.33 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Medjedovic | 15c | 2,594$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.12 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Medjedovic | 13c | 2,243$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Medjedovic | 14c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Medjedovic | 15c | 1,985$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.72 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Medjedovic | 6c | 1,200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Medjedovic | 21c | 1,195$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Medjedovic | 8c | 1,072$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Medjedovic | 19c | 921.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Medjedovic | 14c | 906.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.98 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Medjedovic | 13c | 866.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Medjedovic | 15c | 666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Medjedovic | 11c | 643.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Medjedovic | 15c | 600.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Medjedovic | 17c | 600.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Medjedovic | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Medjedovic | 14c | 483.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Medjedovic | 8c | 312.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Medjedovic | 15c | 308.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Medjedovic | 13c | 299$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Medjedovic | 15c | 248.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…cf1fbacked Medjedovic | 9c | 201.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Medjedovic | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Medjedovic | 15c | 141$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Medjedovic | 14c | 129$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Medjedovic | 13c | 105.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Medjedovic | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Medjedovic | 11c | 97.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Medjedovic | 14c | 90.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Medjedovic | 19c | 75.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.