MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1745e3aad63a019cab339bb9de7df8a7035a672488f54cbfd43ae975fa8af970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Giants | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.6 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 49c | 17,272$8,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,757.31 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Rays | 32c | 15,489$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,488.97 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 50c | 11,664$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.18 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Rays | 51c | 10,077$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Giants | 58c | 7,045$4,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.55 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Giants | 50c | 6,868$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Giants | 60c | 4,823$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.19 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 51c | 4,444$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.42 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Rays | 50c | 4,201$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.5 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 48c | 3,368$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.14 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Giants | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Giants | 27c | 2,770$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.74 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 58c | 2,712$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 56c | 2,460$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.5 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Rays | 34c | 2,457$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.86 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rays | 37c | 2,335$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.14 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Giants | 49c | 2,291$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.59 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rays | 46c | 1,904$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.68 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 50c | 1,877$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.76 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Giants | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Giants | 51c | 1,600$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.97 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Giants | 53c | 1,493$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.63 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rays | 51c | 1,250$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.2 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Giants | 53c | 1,138$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Giants | 48c | 1,065$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.2 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Rays | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Giants | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Giants | 52c | 999.97$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.98 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 47c | 861.7$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.7 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Giants | 79c | 816.99$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.42 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Giants | 51c | 796.08$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e106backed Rays | 49c | 796.08$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Giants | 20c | 708.29$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Giants | 49c | 643.92$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.52 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Giants | 60c | 638.05$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.77 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Giants | 48c | 573.03$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.06 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Giants | 14c | 513.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rays | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Rays | 51c | 481.57$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.57 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Rays | 51c | 425.24$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Rays | 52c | 327.59$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 9c | 288.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Giants | 52c | 287.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Rays | 49c | 271.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.43 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Giants | 25c | 262.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Giants | 57c | 246.49$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Rays | 48c | 226.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Rays | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…be8bbacked Giants | 55c | 219.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Giants | 50c | 218.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 46c | 206.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Giants | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…23ddbacked Giants | 25c | 204$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rays | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Giants | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Giants | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…6924backed Rays | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…1282backed Giants | 52c | 197$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Giants | 24c | 144.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Rays | 75c | 133.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Giants | 60c | 125.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Giants | 36c | 124.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rays | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Giants | 52c | 111$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Rays | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 37c | 104.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Giants | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d2bcbacked Rays | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc5…d323backed Rays | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…827abacked Rays | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…f59bbacked Giants | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a87…a972backed Rays | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…491fbacked Giants | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…2a7abacked Giants | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…bbf2backed Rays | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…2605backed Giants | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…e8c2backed Giants | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d1…9b43backed Rays | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants | 37c | 87.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rays | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Rays | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 53c | 76.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Giants | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 46c | 73.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Giants | 49c | 71.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rays | 51c | 65.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rays | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Rays | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.