Tennis · resolved market
ATP Cincinnati - Fritz vs. Atmane
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a6bbee3a6e66fd854c624a329a52df84d9e341fce81f5657762aafad0be1fed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atmaneof Fritz , Atmane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Atmane | 20c | 164,700$33,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,283.83 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Fritz | 79c | 122,368$96,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,670.78 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Atmane | 11c | 13,783$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,266.46 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Atmane | 13c | 7,518$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,540.73 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Atmane | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Atmane | 36c | 2,504$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.53 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Atmane | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.95 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +2,177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Atmane | 25c | 1,835$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.96 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Atmane | 13c | 1,378$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.16 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Fritz | 11c | 1,112$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Atmane | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Atmane | 13c | 865$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.55 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Fritz | 67c | 840.21$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.45 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Atmane | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Atmane | 14c | 706.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.67 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Atmane | 13c | 696.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.17 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Fritz | 61c | 656.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Atmane | 13c | 600$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Fritz | 72c | 599.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Atmane | 13c | 521$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.27 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Atmane | 14c | 460$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Atmane | 14c | 429.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.29 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Atmane | 11c | 398.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.42 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Atmane | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fritz | 78c | 342.56$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fritz | 78c | 331$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.25 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Atmane | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Atmane | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Atmane | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Atmane | 29c | 286.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.89 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Atmane | 12c | 285.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.53 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Atmane | 13c | 267.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Fritz | 78c | 193.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Fritz | 74c | 185.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Fritz | 78c | 165.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Atmane | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +126%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Atmane | 13c | 145.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Atmane | 13c | 137.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Atmane | 16c | 110$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…403dbacked Atmane | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Atmane | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Atmane | 26c | 87.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…da98backed Atmane | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atmane | 29c | 48.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.