MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d76ffc49c48f9115a6083744ae9936c3ca1cadeed58ea51a1571d343e78e478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Cardinals | 60c | 78,272$47,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,270.86 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Yankees | 28c | 73,049$20,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,645.69 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e106backed Cardinals | 44c | 28,196$12,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,406.36 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cardinals | 45c | 22,411$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cardinals | 6c | 19,667$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.24 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Yankees | 57c | 14,625$8,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,324.24 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 56c | 12,608$7,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,553.54 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cardinals | 43c | 11,343$4,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,915.85 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Yankees | 62c | 7,682$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.31 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 56c | 6,936$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.74 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 67c | 6,200$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.77 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Cardinals | 43c | 5,100$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 24c | 3,987$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Yankees | 57c | 3,565$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yankees | 57c | 3,510$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.47 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 55c | 3,257$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cardinals | 29c | 2,671$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yankees | 54c | 2,600$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Cardinals | 43c | 2,487$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.44 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Cardinals | 39c | 2,439$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.72 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 34c | 1,837$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.62 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 2c | 1,630$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 56c | 1,428$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.12 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yankees | 33c | 1,348$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.74 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 4c | 1,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cardinals | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yankees | 55c | 1,000$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.01 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cardinals | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 41c | 974.58$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.58 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cardinals | 25c | 927.75$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.82 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cardinals | 33c | 861.42$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.83 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yankees | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cardinals | 2c | 719.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 44c | 681$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 12c | 575$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Cardinals | 76c | 540$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 51c | 527.62$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.81 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Cardinals | 23c | 507.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Cardinals | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Cardinals | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cardinals | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yankees | 55c | 499.97$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Cardinals | 40c | 451.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.77 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Cardinals | 44c | 447.14$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.74 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Yankees | 57c | 427.58$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.02 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 11c | 399.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cardinals | 26c | 393.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Cardinals | 26c | 383.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 44c | 358.69$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Cardinals | 45c | 356$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yankees | 57c | 350.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cardinals | 18c | 350$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 43c | 350$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 43c | 349.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 56c | 302$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 45c | 288.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 37c | 281.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cardinals | 45c | 270.35$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 44c | 244.09$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Cardinals | 44c | 240.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…2c4dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 239.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 45c | 224.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 57c | 223.37$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yankees | 55c | 223$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Cardinals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 45c | 201.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yankees | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 28c | 182.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Yankees | 42c | 179.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Yankees | 56c | 177.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Yankees | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yankees | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0d…ddd7backed Yankees | 64c | 150.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yankees | 45c | 134.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Yankees | 24c | 120.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yankees | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Yankees | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 29c | 104.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f6…6df9backed Cardinals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…dcc3backed Yankees | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…4dc8backed Yankees | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…d427backed Cardinals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2071…cb5cbacked Cardinals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Cardinals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…3083backed Yankees | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6e…d30cbacked Cardinals | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…3eacbacked Yankees | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees | 56c | 93.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Cardinals | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yankees | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 57c | 62.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yankees | 56c | 62.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Cardinals | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.