NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4533bfdf322e0a0d7087ed5e98b789ff24f6337a12f5121cc861d51649564e82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Warriors, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Warriors | 12c | 28,384$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.38 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Warriors | 21c | 6,028$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.44 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Warriors | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns | 50c | 4,819$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.2 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 19c | 4,623$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.24 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 8c | 4,571$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.17 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Suns | 74c | 4,231$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.03 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Suns | 52c | 4,062$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.63 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Warriors | 48c | 4,039$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.75 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Suns | 49c | 3,037$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.83 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Warriors | 50c | 2,786$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.85 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Suns | 63c | 2,631$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.76 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Suns | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.98 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…8181backed Warriors | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Warriors | 11c | 2,333$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Warriors | 45c | 2,250$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…2d2dbacked Suns | 55c | 2,250$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…1199backed Suns | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Suns | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Warriors | 27c | 2,193$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.67 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…aa3bbacked Warriors | 52c | 2,163$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Suns | 52c | 2,122$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.3 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Suns | 74c | 2,020$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.39 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Warriors | 1c | 2,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…acb2backed Warriors | 21c | 1,931$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.99 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Warriors | 26c | 1,800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 2c | 1,797$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Warriors | 42c | 1,619$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.07 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Warriors | 17c | 1,231$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Warriors | 50c | 1,230$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.86 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Warriors | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Warriors | 43c | 1,187$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.28 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Warriors | 26c | 1,136$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.46 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…694cbacked Warriors | 46c | 1,125$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed Suns | 54c | 1,125$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.39 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Warriors | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.69 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Warriors | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 23c | 1,000$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Suns | 57c | 999.96$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.98 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2626…38c1backed Warriors | 46c | 907.84$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…14e8backed Suns | 56c | 907.63$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 29c | 890.55$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.19 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Warriors | 44c | 840.35$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.22 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8a…9aeabacked Suns | 51c | 836.59$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Suns | 55c | 799.96$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Suns | 56c | 799.51$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.78 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Suns | 53c | 748.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.69 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Warriors | 35c | 730.58$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…8268backed Warriors | 2c | 697.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Suns | 56c | 619.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Warriors | 49c | 613$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Suns | 60c | 599.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.82 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Warriors | 46c | 575.43$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Warriors | 34c | 547.08$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Warriors | 49c | 504.43$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.17 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3f…db7fbacked Suns | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Suns | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…0478backed Suns | 58c | 499.91$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Warriors | 41c | 498.65$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.55 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 27c | 470.22$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Warriors | 49c | 459.79$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.3 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Suns | 52c | 433.82$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.23 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Suns | 77c | 433.75$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 39c | 429.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.16 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 48c | 427.36$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Warriors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Warriors | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…cfafbacked Warriors | 9c | 400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Suns | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…32e3backed Warriors | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1b3backed Warriors | 49c | 379.23$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Warriors | 47c | 352.9$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.86 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…33ccbacked Suns | 72c | 344.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Warriors | 45c | 343.52$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.33 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…2093backed Warriors | 13c | 339.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Suns | 54c | 321.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.11 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…aaffbacked Suns | 75c | 319.46$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…e1a8backed Warriors | 23c | 315.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…ed74backed Suns | 56c | 305.26$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.77 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Warriors | 33c | 302.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Warriors | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…8897backed Warriors | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…8e77backed Suns | 55c | 294$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Warriors | 49c | 290.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Warriors | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…4125backed Warriors | 12c | 285.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Suns | 75c | 283.4$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Suns | 50c | 278.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Suns | 73c | 273.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Warriors | 49c | 273.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bb…b3f0backed Warriors | 49c | 271.22$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…90c1backed Warriors | 46c | 256.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…cd05backed Suns | 55c | 256.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Warriors | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Suns | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Warriors | 47c | 248.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…951abacked Suns | 60c | 247.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9a…e885backed Warriors | 35c | 237.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 43c | 236.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.