Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Yuriko Miyazaki vs Elizara Yaneva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd64e400d201bf4fde1d0aa94444cfcff554ffcec47b37666ab9527c321cc6985
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elizara Yanevaof Yuriko Miyazaki, Elizara Yaneva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Yuriko Miyazaki | 29c | 40,208$11,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,694.73 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elizara Yaneva | 71c | 15,401$10,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.08 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yuriko Miyazaki | 1c | 8,888$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Elizara Yaneva | 70c | 8,719$6,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.29 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yuriko Miyazaki | 1c | 4,821$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elizara Yaneva | 73c | 3,801$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Yuriko Miyazaki | 11c | 2,207$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.47 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yuriko Miyazaki | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Elizara Yaneva | 66c | 1,918$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.59 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Yuriko Miyazaki | 36c | 587.14$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yuriko Miyazaki | 37c | 535.87$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Elizara Yaneva | 77c | 508$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.91 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yuriko Miyazaki | 11c | 347.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yuriko Miyazaki | 36c | 294.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…0bdbbacked Elizara Yaneva | 64c | 234.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Yuriko Miyazaki | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Elizara Yaneva | 66c | 151.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yuriko Miyazaki | 13c | 121.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Elizara Yaneva | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Elizara Yaneva | 61c | 96.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yuriko Miyazaki | 35c | 94.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Elizara Yaneva | 63c | 92.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Elizara Yaneva | 66c | 90.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Elizara Yaneva | 65c | 85.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yuriko Miyazaki | 35c | 71.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Yuriko Miyazaki | 30c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Yuriko Miyazaki | 38c | 58.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yuriko Miyazaki | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yuriko Miyazaki | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Yuriko Miyazaki | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Elizara Yaneva | 63c | 39.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yuriko Miyazaki | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Elizara Yaneva | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Elizara Yaneva | 80c | 31.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Elizara Yaneva | 65c | 29.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Elizara Yaneva | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Elizara Yaneva | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Elizara Yaneva | 65c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Elizara Yaneva | 65c | 18.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Elizara Yaneva | 70c | 18.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 356 | 49.4%176 W · 180 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.