Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fe1acc4ab5c540ebdaa7c894d0ccb5e2cc4c9b8289d8580f5c70daa715712cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Pipsqueak+4 | 12c | 1,012$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Pipsqueak+4 | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…a26ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 8c | 612.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Pipsqueak+4 | 14c | 585.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Pipsqueak+4 | 7c | 559$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Pipsqueak+4 | 11c | 511.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Pipsqueak+4 | 8c | 501.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 10c | 500.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 5c | 326.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 6c | 283.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 7c | 278.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Pipsqueak+4 | 8c | 240$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 13c | 212.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Pipsqueak+4 | 11c | 196.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 7c | 168.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Pipsqueak+4 | 11c | 161.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.