Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c404879b946ceb27f1769145b948d189c4a20eabeb792d1fbe1433dc0cd11bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 3,945$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.15 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 2,101$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.23 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Pipsqueak+4 | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 1,371$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.93 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 79c | 1,347$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.58 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 1,230$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.3 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 19c | 931.59$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 750.68$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 22c | 739.17$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.66 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 684.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 31c | 604.28$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.05 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed LGD Gaming | 77c | 563.04$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 471.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 30c | 442$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Pipsqueak+4 | 17c | 325.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 309.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 300$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Pipsqueak+4 | 22c | 265.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 19c | 236.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 69c | 219.21$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 215.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 209.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 207.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Pipsqueak+4 | 19c | 200.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Pipsqueak+4 | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Pipsqueak+4 | 27c | 186.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 142$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 137.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 36c | 136.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 22c | 118.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 111$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 110.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…e759backed Pipsqueak+4 | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 98.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Pipsqueak+4 | 17c | 68.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 23c | 54.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 27c | 52.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Pipsqueak+4 | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 48.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 46.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pipsqueak+4 | 31c | 45.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…6215backed Pipsqueak+4 | 36c | 42.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…68d8backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 38.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…4d58backed Pipsqueak+4 | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 31c | 32.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 31.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc883…525abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 48c | 30.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 27.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.