Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Esther Adeshina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9b152acd2eca8182046679c1638fa59c124ba1eaca97a2a1451ed37bd4d4fbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esther Adeshinaof Moyuka Uchijima, Esther Adeshina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Moyuka Uchijima | 51c | 4,239$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.13 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Esther Adeshina | 45c | 4,163$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.04 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Esther Adeshina | 65c | 1,915$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.65 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 59c | 1,017$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.88 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Moyuka Uchijima | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Esther Adeshina | 55c | 924.53$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.04 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 78c | 712.78$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.41 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Esther Adeshina | 46c | 600$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…23c4backed Moyuka Uchijima | 42c | 464.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Esther Adeshina | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Moyuka Uchijima | 48c | 320$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Esther Adeshina | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Esther Adeshina | 16c | 303.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.94 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Esther Adeshina | 55c | 258$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Esther Adeshina | 36c | 250.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Esther Adeshina | 12c | 216.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Esther Adeshina | 11c | 208.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Moyuka Uchijima | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Esther Adeshina | 47c | 172.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Esther Adeshina | 26c | 169.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Moyuka Uchijima | 60c | 166.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 51c | 162.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed Esther Adeshina | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Esther Adeshina | 47c | 154.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 53c | 132$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Moyuka Uchijima | 46c | 119.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 63c | 117.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Esther Adeshina | 18c | 112$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Moyuka Uchijima | 69c | 107.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Moyuka Uchijima | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Esther Adeshina | 41c | 95.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Esther Adeshina | 58c | 88.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Esther Adeshina | 14c | 88.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…e6c2backed Esther Adeshina | 60c | 83.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Esther Adeshina | 51c | 78.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Esther Adeshina | 16c | 78.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…f3cbbacked Esther Adeshina | 26c | 76.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Moyuka Uchijima | 39c | 76.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 49c | 71.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Moyuka Uchijima | 44c | 70.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Esther Adeshina | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Esther Adeshina | 62c | 52.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Esther Adeshina | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Esther Adeshina | 41c | 48.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Esther Adeshina | 63c | 47.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Moyuka Uchijima | 70c | 42.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Moyuka Uchijima | 70c | 38.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Moyuka Uchijima | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Esther Adeshina | 47c | 31.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Moyuka Uchijima | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Esther Adeshina | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Moyuka Uchijima | 69c | 23.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Moyuka Uchijima | 61c | 21.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Moyuka Uchijima | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…351abacked Esther Adeshina | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Moyuka Uchijima | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Moyuka Uchijima | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 171 | 31.6%54 W · 117 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Moyuka Uchijima | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.