CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a36b3ee533e08b7b609489b4d19142cfc90b70ac32ece6fbd5596f27edf0df1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 1,966$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.47 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 1,724$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.59 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Walczaki | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 819.33$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.11 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 783.29$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.28 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Walczaki | 51c | 615.89$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.52 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Walczaki | 67c | 544.39$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Walczaki | 53c | 519.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Walczaki | 65c | 462.13$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.7 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Walczaki | 78c | 417.96$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Walczaki | 55c | 398.59$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 64c | 350.37$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Walczaki | 23c | 346.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.2 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Walczaki | 54c | 344.69$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Walczaki | 56c | 343.37$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.91 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Walczaki | 66c | 302.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Walczaki | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Walczaki | 58c | 299.33$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Walczaki | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Walczaki | 63c | 247.1$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-RUBY | 31c | 247$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Walczaki | 42c | 246.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 245$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 239.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Walczaki | 54c | 228.57$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 220$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Walczaki | 66c | 196.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 56c | 183.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ex-RUBY | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed Walczaki | 37c | 162.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa03…7e11backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 153.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Walczaki | 53c | 143.53$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 114$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 59c | 109.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki | 35c | 70.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 76c | 69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed ex-RUBY | 47c | 68.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 66.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Walczaki | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 64.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed ex-RUBY | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6905…d0e8backed Walczaki | 39c | 63.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 63.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Walczaki | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed ex-RUBY | 76c | 59.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Walczaki | 62c | 58.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Walczaki | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed ex-RUBY | 30c | 46.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 45.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked ex-RUBY | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed ex-RUBY | 28c | 39.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Walczaki | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Walczaki | 62c | 31.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Walczaki | 64c | 29.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 28.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Walczaki | 70c | 28.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked ex-RUBY | 71c | 25.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Walczaki | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Walczaki | 74c | 21.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Walczaki | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.