Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffa98610768bc357cfa35153ad6e0d5aace22bd5f099cfd26f308d271b20c064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 3,996$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 1,409$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.78 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 7c | 1,215$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.77 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 1,140$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.14 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 1,048$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.54 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +746.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Yes | 69c | 930.59$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 32c | 657.34$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.68 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 16c | 600.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.35 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 61c | 555.06$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.43 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked No | 27c | 362.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 13c | 264.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.69 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 22c | 205$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 59c | 203.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 16c | 192.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 14c | 190$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 13c | 187$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.44 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 12c | 167$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 13c | 152$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 14c | 143$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 14c | 114$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 13c | 113.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed No | 47c | 106.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Yes | 14c | 95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 14c | 88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 15c | 86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…851dbacked Yes | 29c | 61.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +241.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 55c | 51.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…5933backed Yes | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-17?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-17?No won
- Will Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.