Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d00f5da74cafd81b29d6f05f5b23f0be679d85c0802d5a1963d2d54997bcc95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 3,017$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 1,554$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.23 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 32c | 1,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 32c | 1,266$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 33c | 1,031$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 919.99$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 916.55$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.49 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 769$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.1 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 550.29$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 32c | 483$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 68c | 255$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 205$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Yes | 34c | 174.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 21c | 122$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 22c | 118.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 18c | 107$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 35c | 84.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb031…ceb6backed No | 79c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 16c | 73.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 78c | 73.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 78c | 59.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…1f07backed Yes | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…5d42backed Yes | 32c | 44.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 79c | 40.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 78c | 38.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked No | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed No | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 78c | 29.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked No | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 21.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked No | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6489…71ebbacked No | 72c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-17?No won
- Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.