CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86e372f8a525198025415e585878b670cc4a3ecfc395d72e3defbde841a9182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNiTY esportsof MOUZ NXT, UNiTY esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ NXT | 1c | 4,003$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UNiTY esports | 67c | 1,106$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.84 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT | 14c | 694.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f3…1248backed MOUZ NXT | 3c | 462.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 334.58$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.29 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed UNiTY esports | 41c | 329.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 320.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3bc7backed UNiTY esports | 65c | 299.51$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed MOUZ NXT | 59c | 282.81$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed UNiTY esports | 62c | 195.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed UNiTY esports | 52c | 193.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2312…016fbacked UNiTY esports | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked UNiTY esports | 50c | 158.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked MOUZ NXT | 13c | 156.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…2afbbacked UNiTY esports | 65c | 154.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked UNiTY esports | 66c | 152.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 102.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked MOUZ NXT | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…53d7backed UNiTY esports | 55c | 72.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…6ab1backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 69.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked MOUZ NXT | 47c | 47.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…3195backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…de1ebacked MOUZ NXT | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked UNiTY esports | 72c | 33.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…e4a0backed UNiTY esports | 53c | 30.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked UNiTY esports | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed UNiTY esports | 69c | 21.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked UNiTY esports | 59c | 19.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 WinnerUNiTY esports won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 WinnerUNiTY esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.