NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fa5a5cbf7db64a2445288820845357f608a0c290a6388a398159ee60003943a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof 76ers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Celtics | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked 76ers | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked 76ers | 47c | 1,909$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.27 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 56c | 1,686$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Celtics | 53c | 1,414$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.57 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 43c | 1,402$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.49 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Celtics | 53c | 905.15$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.27 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…eaadbacked Celtics | 54c | 776.78$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed 76ers | 41c | 550.85$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.85 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed 76ers | 46c | 167.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Celtics | 53c | 115.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked 76ers | 47c | 112$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…2e92backed 76ers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed 76ers | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8984…8af8backed Celtics | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…cdc6backed Celtics | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed 76ers | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)this page
- Celtics vs. 76ersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.