Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f907953fecacb3bdbf4b4e3decbfb0ae76542d502381c42cf7650cf5a49bfd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penn State Nittany Lionsof Campbell Fighting Camels, Penn State Nittany Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 7c | 19,838$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 2c | 4,633$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 9c | 2,489$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.69 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 9c | 2,449$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.41 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 8c | 2,331$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 7c | 1,984$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 8c | 1,297$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 10c | 1,093$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 10c | 976.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 9c | 737.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 13c | 418.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9880…82d6backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 9c | 366.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 8c | 360$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 6c | 353.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 10c | 274.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 18c | 273.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 7c | 270.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 8c | 252.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 8c | 249.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 7c | 233.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 8c | 196.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0be…651fbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 10c | 119.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 10c | 100.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…061cbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 10c | 99.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsthis page
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 152.5Over won
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 153.5Over won
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 154.5Over won
- Spread: Penn State Nittany Lions (-13.5)Campbell Fighting Camels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.