College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6e45fe055ff274bfd41cf2635366d47549797e41fd6c7ea70f8652bba3dc7d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Techof Georgia, Georgia Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Georgia Tech | 49c | 14,743$7,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,466.26 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgia | 52c | 11,019$5,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,684.87 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia | 50c | 10,607$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,352.99 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Georgia Tech | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Georgia | 48c | 3,723$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.04 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia | 51c | 2,935$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.36 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Georgia | 47c | 2,162$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.94 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Georgia Tech | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Georgia Tech | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Georgia Tech | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Georgia | 51c | 776.42$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.7 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Georgia | 50c | 710$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Georgia Tech | 34c | 636.45$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.17 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Georgia Tech | 47c | 606.83$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.82 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Georgia Tech | 50c | 586$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.76 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…2158backed Georgia Tech | 52c | 558.79$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Georgia Tech | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Georgia Tech | 60c | 290$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Georgia Tech | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…1dc4backed Georgia Tech | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Georgia | 52c | 190.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Georgia Tech | 47c | 167.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Georgia | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Georgia Tech | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Georgia | 48c | 76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Georgia | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Georgia | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Georgia | 48c | 56.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Georgia | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Georgia Tech | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Georgia Tech | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3194…eb07backed Georgia Tech | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…9f01backed Georgia Tech | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…e4aabacked Georgia | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Georgia Tech | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Georgia Tech | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Georgia | 49c | 24.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Georgia Tech | 51c | 20.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Georgia Tech | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed Georgia Tech | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia (-14.5)this page
- Georgia vs. Georgia TechGeorgia won
- Georgia vs. Georgia Tech: 1H MoneylineGeorgia won
- O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-12.5)Georgia Tech won
- Spread: Georgia (-13.5)Georgia Tech won
- Spread: Georgia (-15.5)Georgia Tech won
- Spread: Georgia (-16.5)Georgia Tech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.