College Football · resolved market
Spread: Kennesaw State (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x016a7682169cad7fcd38cede5392c7c1c81897d2091581ce6737207343cc0526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kennesaw Stateof Kennesaw State, Jacksonville State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jacksonville State | 47c | 17,355$8,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,159.1 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kennesaw State | 53c | 6,500$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kennesaw State | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kennesaw State | 53c | 4,201$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.25 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kennesaw State | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Jacksonville State | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Kennesaw State | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kennesaw State | 53c | 535.06$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.48 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Jacksonville State | 49c | 500.94$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.46 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…6c22backed Kennesaw State | 51c | 410$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…cf90backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Kennesaw State | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Kennesaw State | 51c | 370$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…70e2backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 370$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa3…a86fbacked Jacksonville State | 50c | 370$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…7377backed Kennesaw State | 51c | 370$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…1dafbacked Jacksonville State | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…bc50backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ed…7971backed Kennesaw State | 51c | 360$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…1d43backed Kennesaw State | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Jacksonville State | 50c | 282.54$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…31eabacked Jacksonville State | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Kennesaw State | 53c | 248$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Jacksonville State | 49c | 199$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Kennesaw State | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Kennesaw State | 53c | 185$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Kennesaw State | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Jacksonville State | 49c | 111.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kennesaw State | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Jacksonville State | 50c | 70.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jacksonville State | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Kennesaw State | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Jacksonville State | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jacksonville State | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Jacksonville State | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Jacksonville State | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Jacksonville State | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Kennesaw State | 52c | 20.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kennesaw State (-2.5)this page
- Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville StateKennesaw State won
- Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 60.5Under won
- O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: Kennesaw State (-2.5)Kennesaw State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.