College Football · resolved market
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 60.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff5de1906c90bd3e1560117fd5ddda8e6937617c061ceb1d5f47c3c106a0692a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 10,291$4,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,557.25 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 8,774$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,736.01 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 50c | 7,414$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,707.21 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 6,579$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.69 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.08 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Under | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,340$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.88 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 49c | 1,059$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.82 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 58c | 468$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.91 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 409.29$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 389.36$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 50c | 367.95$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.98 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 72.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Over | 50c | 26.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 60.5this page
- Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville StateKennesaw State won
- O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: Kennesaw State (-2.5)Kennesaw State won
- Spread: Kennesaw State (-2.5)Kennesaw State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.