Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Texas Longhorns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe55f5f145897a4473455cff7f4b70189595a771295ae7cda465d85cf361398b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Cavaliersof Virginia Cavaliers, Texas Longhorns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Virginia Cavaliers | 40c | 5,500$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texas Longhorns | 59c | 4,627$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.52 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texas Longhorns | 60c | 4,378$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.85 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virginia Cavaliers | 42c | 1,267$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.61 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Texas Longhorns | 62c | 1,123$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Virginia Cavaliers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 60c | 901.81$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Virginia Cavaliers | 44c | 555.8$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.25 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Texas Longhorns | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 39c | 461.32$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 43c | 400.23$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.66 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas Longhorns | 59c | 319.25$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.62 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 36c | 307.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.87 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Texas Longhorns | 38c | 299.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Texas Longhorns | 61c | 288.02$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 39c | 266.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Virginia Cavaliers | 41c | 250$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Virginia Cavaliers | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 40c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Virginia Cavaliers | 41c | 171.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Texas Longhorns | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia Cavaliers | 64c | 118.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 113.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Virginia Cavaliers | 41c | 108.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Virginia Cavaliers | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Texas Longhorns | 10c | 99.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe820…a857backed Texas Longhorns | 28c | 93.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Texas Longhorns | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texas Longhorns | 58c | 81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 38c | 78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…ec40backed Texas Longhorns | 59c | 66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 70c | 54.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Texas Longhorns | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Virginia Cavaliers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Texas Longhorns | 26c | 40.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Longhorns | 61c | 39.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…e9dbbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…fd0bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virginia Cavaliers | 67c | 24.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Texas Longhorns | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.