Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Vendula Valdmannova vs Maria Lourdes Carle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x157a0d0e1a75e14059aa5c79087c7b5a000a5a0c0f2630334e508744a18dfb60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vendula Valdmannovaof Vendula Valdmannova, Maria Lourdes Carle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 29c | 16,666$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.12 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Vendula Valdmannova | 72c | 5,198$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.37 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 29c | 4,995$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.55 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 14c | 4,622$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.27 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 3,841$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.77 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 1,505$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.45 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 1,501$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.31 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vendula Valdmannova | 75c | 849.4$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.69 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 801.96$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.57 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 16c | 680.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Vendula Valdmannova | 79c | 676.77$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 21c | 481.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 28c | 480.91$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 338.79$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 323.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 21c | 265$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vendula Valdmannova | 74c | 238.14$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 15c | 226.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 28c | 178.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 10c | 150.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 8c | 150.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Vendula Valdmannova | 77c | 135.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 535 | 39.3%210 W · 325 L | +37.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 29c | 127.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vendula Valdmannova | 75c | 122.87$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 22c | 116.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Vendula Valdmannova | 73c | 78.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbded…48b7backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…624cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Vendula Valdmannova | 73c | 48.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…a9d0backed Vendula Valdmannova | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 37.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…3fa6backed Vendula Valdmannova | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Vendula Valdmannova | 80c | 33.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Vendula Valdmannova | 73c | 28.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Vendula Valdmannova | 72c | 23.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…a898backed Vendula Valdmannova | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Vendula Valdmannova | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 144 | 96.5%139 W · 5 L | +36.7wins | +0.25per pick | 71cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Vendula Valdmannova | 72c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 304 | 65.5%199 W · 105 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Vendula Valdmannova | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 359 | 56.8%204 W · 155 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Vendula Valdmannova | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Vendula Valdmannova vs Maria Lourdes Carlethis page
- Set Handicap: Valdmannova (-1.5) vs Carle (+1.5)Valdmannova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.