Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbaaff78620773ee81054b0758ca75b17eee6ad854a0b6e6921c98b6345430e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,856 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 4,749$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed No | 73c | 1,540$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 1c | 976.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 17c | 781.63$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.34 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 772.13$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.52 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 761.58$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.57 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 37c | 739.14$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.48 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 290 | 24.8%72 W · 218 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 482.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.81 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 26c | 448$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.52 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 73c | 440$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.2 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 427$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.45 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 35c | 412.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 286.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.47 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 254$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.51 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 25c | 159$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 77c | 117.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…ccc9backed No | 75c | 95.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 25c | 86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 38c | 82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 25c | 78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 67.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 72c | 56.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 52c | 52.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 28c | 48.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 52c | 46.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 45.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 43.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 38.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 49c | 20.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 50c | 20.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 50c | 20.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 68c | 15.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will Preston North End FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.