Premier League · resolved market
Will Preston North End FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b9d02975a6cd52da5c3b11bde4ba4e907a2f73dd9f0610f74446b4a646801dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,921 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 2,266$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.9 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Yes | 30c | 1,603$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 681.5$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.53 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 570.57$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 400.84$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 71c | 276.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 274$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 241.35$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 30c | 216.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 144.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 31c | 138.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 29c | 136.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 110.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 71c | 91.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 90.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 71.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 70c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 57.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 67c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 30c | 51.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 32c | 50.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 47.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 73c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 32c | 41.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 27c | 37.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 27c | 37.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 31c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 78c | 22.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Preston North End FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-03-06?Yes won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.