Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Julia Avdeeva vs Katherine Sebov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa00aa55065242cfdbb3fdbd3d9d92d7a5501944f012ee36721332434eb3a3ccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julia Avdeevaof Julia Avdeeva, Katherine Sebov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x698b…4426backed Katherine Sebov | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Katherine Sebov | 59c | 4,913$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Julia Avdeeva | 41c | 4,780$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.79 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Katherine Sebov | 1c | 4,578$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Julia Avdeeva | 48c | 3,046$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.79 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Julia Avdeeva | 50c | 2,717$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.3 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Katherine Sebov | 2c | 2,347$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Julia Avdeeva | 54c | 2,175$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.13 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Julia Avdeeva | 64c | 1,950$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.64 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Katherine Sebov | 45c | 1,659$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.25 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Julia Avdeeva | 42c | 1,630$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.55 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Julia Avdeeva | 61c | 1,616$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.43 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Katherine Sebov | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Katherine Sebov | 57c | 789.47$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Katherine Sebov | 45c | 715.51$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.72 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Julia Avdeeva | 48c | 571.82$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.35 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Katherine Sebov | 26c | 527.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Katherine Sebov | 49c | 480.38$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Julia Avdeeva | 51c | 471.44$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.82 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Katherine Sebov | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…04b8backed Katherine Sebov | 52c | 407.69$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Julia Avdeeva | 47c | 333.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.85 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Julia Avdeeva | 50c | 332.48$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.85 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Katherine Sebov | 31c | 323.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Katherine Sebov | 29c | 299.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Julia Avdeeva | 74c | 288.31$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Katherine Sebov | 53c | 285.86$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Katherine Sebov | 49c | 284.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Katherine Sebov | 52c | 230$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Katherine Sebov | 53c | 215.3$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Katherine Sebov | 48c | 167.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Julia Avdeeva | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Katherine Sebov | 46c | 149.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Julia Avdeeva | 49c | 148.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Katherine Sebov | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Katherine Sebov | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Julia Avdeeva | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Julia Avdeeva | 49c | 93.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Katherine Sebov | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Katherine Sebov | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Julia Avdeeva | 45c | 88.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Julia Avdeeva | 47c | 79.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…3fa6backed Katherine Sebov | 51c | 76.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Julia Avdeeva | 51c | 73.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fd…2c1dbacked Katherine Sebov | 48c | 67.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Julia Avdeeva | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Katherine Sebov | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Julia Avdeeva | 53c | 56.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Katherine Sebov | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Julia Avdeeva | 54c | 53.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Katherine Sebov | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Katherine Sebov | 51c | 48.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Katherine Sebov | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Katherine Sebov | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Julia Avdeeva | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Julia Avdeeva | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 165 | 88.5%146 W · 19 L | +37.7wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Julia Avdeeva | 46c | 35.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Julia Avdeeva | 75c | 34.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Katherine Sebov | 52c | 33.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Julia Avdeeva | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Julia Avdeeva | 43c | 31.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Julia Avdeeva | 54c | 31.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Katherine Sebov | 52c | 30.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Katherine Sebov | 44c | 26.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Katherine Sebov | 44c | 24.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Julia Avdeeva | 60c | 20.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Katherine Sebov | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Katherine Sebov | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Julia Avdeeva vs Katherine Sebovthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Avdeeva vs SebovAvdeeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.