Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Torello Women: Alice Gillan vs Esther Lopez Alcaraz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8669fa07c7cab4ab2fd7577b8446d84ce43ad8d24670a0ab8a070b822a17758e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alice Gillanof Alice Gillan, Esther Lopez Alcaraz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 44c | 6,087$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alice Gillan | 47c | 5,513$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.55 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 26c | 2,844$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.34 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alice Gillan | 53c | 1,327$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.05 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alice Gillan | 76c | 917.33$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Alice Gillan | 55c | 880.17$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.17 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alice Gillan | 76c | 651$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 53c | 466.78$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.17 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 33c | 375.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 33c | 366.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 24c | 264.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 30c | 259.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Alice Gillan | 78c | 255.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 41c | 238.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Alice Gillan | 67c | 193.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 54c | 120.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alice Gillan | 75c | 106.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…b03abacked Alice Gillan | 46c | 92.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Alice Gillan | 55c | 92.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 51c | 86.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Alice Gillan | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Alice Gillan | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Alice Gillan | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Alice Gillan | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 56c | 61.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 34c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Alice Gillan | 46c | 51.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Alice Gillan | 46c | 49.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Alice Gillan | 46c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 38c | 48.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Alice Gillan | 41c | 43.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Alice Gillan | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Alice Gillan | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked Alice Gillan | 59c | 32.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alice Gillan | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Alice Gillan | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alice Gillan | 59c | 29.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Alice Gillan | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Alice Gillan | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Alice Gillan | 76c | 24.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Alice Gillan | 65c | 24.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Alice Gillan | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.