Europa Conference League · resolved market
Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2d5e20633b7fcea0cc2004f00c8e1691de17c9730f6ccb89f7342daacd65fba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 16c | 2,754$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.57 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 2,428$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.95 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 1,755$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.24 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…8d5fbacked Over | 23c | 1,325$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 17c | 840.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 76c | 765.13$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.28 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 525.15$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 16c | 314.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 137.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 19c | 92.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Over | 18c | 81.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 18c | 69.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Over | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 71c | 37.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 68c | 36.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 74c | 18.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 5.5this page
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: Hibernian FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: Team to AdvanceHibernian FC won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-2.5)Hibernian FC won
- Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)Hibernian FC won
- Spread: Hibernian FC (-2.5)Hibernian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.