Europa Conference League · resolved market
Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb98102ac70cfc8f3d5307e2adbb3574c88dabd022ddf717a4b31f022094eed5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,814$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.99 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 563.1$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 54c | 145.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 135.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 103.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed No | 52c | 99.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 25c | 86.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 50c | 49.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 68c | 45.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…a72dbacked Yes | 55c | 39.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 50c | 39.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 49c | 25.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: Hibernian FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: Team to AdvanceHibernian FC won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-2.5)Hibernian FC won
- Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)Hibernian FC won
- Spread: Hibernian FC (-2.5)Hibernian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.