TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
KÍof FK Kauno Žalgiris, KÍ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,873 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed FK Kauno Žalgiris14c1,633$235 inLost-$234.7745042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed FK Kauno Žalgiris10c1,326$131 inLost-$130.721,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris25c425.25$106 inLost-$106.3128651%146 W · 140 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed FK Kauno Žalgiris16c312.5$50 inLost-$504334.9%15 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed FK Kauno Žalgiris9c277.77$25 inLost-$2511035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked FK Kauno Žalgiris23c217.39$50 inLost-$501921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed FK Kauno Žalgiris25c204$51 inLost-$515529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed FK Kauno Žalgiris20c156.05$32 inLost-$31.7270435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked KÍ77c67$52 inWon+$15.4142647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked FK Kauno Žalgiris29c57$17 inLost-$16.533923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed FK Kauno Žalgiris29c51.72$15 inLost-$155829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed KÍ77c34.62$27 inWon+$7.9687531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed KÍ70c33.33$23 inWon+$1029858.4%174 W · 124 L+17.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed KÍ70c33.33$23 inWon+$1060648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed KÍ80c12.52$10 inWon+$2.51989.5%17 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick80cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.