Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8a6923db05d676acf4f6f8cca619e1e5fde07959a38b6586debc2be9edf6f4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 31c | 979.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.74 | 404 | 38.1%154 W · 250 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 37c | 657.28$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.47 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…3dd8backed No | 66c | 376.71$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…2131backed Yes | 5c | 367.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf514…07cdbacked Yes | 48c | 360$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.57 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 275$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 61c | 220.15$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 38c | 209.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 61c | 203.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…e2e6backed No | 58c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 11c | 198.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 177.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 40c | 166$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 22c | 150.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bc…1485backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 21c | 146$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 39c | 146$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 39c | 142$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 39c | 134.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 41c | 128.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…6ce5backed Yes | 39c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 11c | 121.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 120.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 11c | 120.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 116.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 42c | 109.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed No | 49c | 101.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…ed72backed Yes | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 52c | 94.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 69c | 93.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 59c | 88.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 23c | 81.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…9bb2backed Yes | 45c | 81.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 166 | 42.8%71 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 57c | 76.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 63c | 75.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 64c | 69.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 62c | 62.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 39c | 61.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 75c | 61.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…0745backed Yes | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…d6ccbacked No | 59c | 52.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…d568backed Yes | 38c | 52.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…31eabacked No | 59c | 50.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…64d7backed No | 61c | 50.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 58c | 50.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…033dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…9356backed Yes | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked Yes | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 31c | 47.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 64c | 47.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked No | 69c | 44.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 46c | 43.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 552 | 61.6%340 W · 212 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 32c | 37.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 52c | 36.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 29c | 36.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked No | 59c | 36.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 56c | 35.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 63c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 39c | 33.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 40c | 32.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 78c | 30.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…f988backed Yes | 59c | 25.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 63c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 271 | 69%187 W · 84 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 74c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 62c | 21.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…7c9abacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 64c | 19.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 65c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 297 | 69.4%206 W · 91 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.