TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: French Flair vs BIG - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
French Flairof French Flair, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,999 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked French Flair43c12,049$5,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,810.341,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked French Flair55c10,032$5,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,479.3837245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed BIG64c8,481$5,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,414.2927353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed BIG1c8,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked BIG36c5,365$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.1861045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked BIG46c4,168$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.7366437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked French Flair43c3,997$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.8895041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed BIG44c3,962$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.6632440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed French Flair41c3,484$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.6676142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed BIG65c3,368$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.8624065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5511…5734backed BIG45c3,242$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.7224029.2%70 W · 170 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed French Flair54c3,161$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.1925952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked French Flair50c2,945$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.322,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked French Flair55c2,940$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.367250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed French Flair31c2,637$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.1139246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed BIG55c2,471$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.71,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed French Flair44c2,271$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.2169539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked BIG50c1,947$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.889637.5%36 W · 60 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG44c1,730$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.242,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed French Flair56c1,526$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.6450647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BIG42c1,412$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.563,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf28…db5dbacked French Flair48c1,398$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.598259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed French Flair56c1,395$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.61,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked French Flair57c1,380$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.5378050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked BIG56c1,293$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.111,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x453d…7accbacked BIG59c1,248$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.061154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed French Flair79c1,224$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8318554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed BIG60c1,221$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.5333857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed BIG79c1,073$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.5616254.9%89 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed French Flair56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed French Flair54c1,000$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4653839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc3…6be5backed French Flair31c906.44$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.53727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed BIG28c865.18$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2524835.1%87 W · 161 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed French Flair38c841.25$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9150549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed French Flair58c841.09$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2843539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed BIG39c799.99$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked French Flair68c791.48$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1352065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked French Flair52c771.31$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.1782044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed French Flair66c756.38$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.7617345.7%79 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked French Flair71c694.62$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.426448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked BIG46c674.26$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.956341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed BIG44c655.13$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.461,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2e9…ce05backed French Flair69c651.21$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed French Flair45c646.89$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.881,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed BIG41c644.41$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.0954944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked BIG31c603.1$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8714136.9%52 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked BIG73c599.99$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.9951160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe751…9af6backed BIG66c591.09$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9125945.2%117 W · 142 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed BIG31c580.68$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9357947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked French Flair57c513.4$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.1526245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BIG43c499.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed BIG59c495.97$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.6215062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked French Flair62c470.83$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.118242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed French Flair59c451.42$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.932,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c02…502bbacked French Flair56c420.67$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+74.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed French Flair23c420.01$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.6547953.2%255 W · 224 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked French Flair60c416.57$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2173237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked French Flair45c415.41$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5613537%50 W · 85 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed BIG45c412.69$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7118447.8%88 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked French Flair71c395.3$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.281957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG44c384.13$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.022,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked BIG67c381.98$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7923341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed French Flair27c379.63$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.131,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked French Flair19c370$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.2617241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed French Flair28c336.94$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.2485652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9e4…c4b2backed BIG78c335.49$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3326861.6%165 W · 103 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed BIG37c319.32$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1531036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed BIG34c312.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6368942.5%293 W · 396 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed French Flair48c309.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.692,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed French Flair56c299.93$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9729240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed French Flair54c299.12$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.620151.2%103 W · 98 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BIG67c298.54$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0179653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa58f…fd67backed French Flair72c296.71$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7526346.8%123 W · 140 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed French Flair45c287.31$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.028644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked BIG43c263.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9248042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa89…9970backed French Flair19c259$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+235.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked French Flair32c251.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.815731.2%49 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked BIG75c249.21$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6492354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed BIG76c247.81$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0574462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked French Flair25c246.39$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.793855.3%21 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed BIG31c240$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.439239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked BIG33c231.94$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7113761.3%84 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed BIG48c231.86$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2574250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked BIG36c227.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7133124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed BIG62c224.2$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7522867.5%154 W · 74 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked BIG43c222.13$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5230035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fcb…5085backed BIG44c217.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6723656.8%134 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed BIG45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.72642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed BIG14c214$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.525616.1%9 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked BIG42c199.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8463646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BIG45c198.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.652,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked BIG30c192.23$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4817057.1%97 W · 73 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed BIG49c178.42$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.721,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc221…fe97backed French Flair27c177.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.835154.9%28 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed French Flair70c176.26$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8833143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44df…ae2cbacked French Flair28c170.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.022955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked French Flair62c169.49$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0732566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed French Flair54c169.27$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.866245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked BIG33c163.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.623649.2%116 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked French Flair58c159.67$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0629944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.