TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: French Flair vs BIG - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof French Flair, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9671…3a70backed French Flair1c5,210$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.192844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked BIG51c4,541$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.021,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked French Flair37c4,040$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.141,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed BIG42c3,100$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.8832440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed BIG69c2,960$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.9124065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed French Flair1c1,881$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8127254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed BIG61c1,803$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.1669539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed French Flair39c1,527$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.8916058.1%93 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked BIG48c1,420$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.1626448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked French Flair42c1,399$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.152,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BIG45c1,374$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.832,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed French Flair31c1,322$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.433,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed BIG44c1,304$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.4339246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed BIG38c1,013$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.8385652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed French Flair60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked French Flair63c945.19$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.5126245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed French Flair59c921.44$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.962147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BIG63c900.16$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.9495041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e24…8266backed French Flair31c899.98$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27515135.1%53 W · 98 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed French Flair57c895.26$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.491,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed French Flair42c868.49$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.6935346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked French Flair56c828.63$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.6582044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked French Flair52c827.43$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.172,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed BIG40c800$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48037039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed French Flair63c779.71$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.8450647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BIG48c768.01$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.841,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed French Flair41c704.04$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.311032.7%36 W · 74 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed French Flair9c614.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.521,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7689…af2abacked French Flair40c592.87$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2917535.4%62 W · 113 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked French Flair67c559.93$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6673237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed French Flair61c559.23$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.8466947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba0…62aabacked French Flair59c546.22$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa69…6e45backed BIG40c539.84$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.94100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+136.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked French Flair32c529.31$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6863352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked French Flair57c502.73$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3366843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BIG39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3053,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed French Flair58c476.28$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9457945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked French Flair62c462.19$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.242,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed French Flair64c458.63$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5226246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed French Flair23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9257947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc761…4fc8backed French Flair25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked French Flair58c389.92$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1556341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fcb…5085backed BIG41c363.96$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.3423656.8%134 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed French Flair60c330$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19856650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed French Flair61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BIG62c289.1$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8679653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked French Flair51c284.01$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6799747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed BIG45c274.84$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3243539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed French Flair6c274$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.675616.1%9 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa143…586cbacked French Flair7c256$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9526937.5%101 W · 168 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed BIG38c254.61$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3415062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed French Flair55c250.82$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.951,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked French Flair52c250$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.817241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed BIG48c248.86$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.411,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe751…9af6backed French Flair40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.425945.2%117 W · 142 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed BIG42c229.5$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9792342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f7…aebbbacked French Flair45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.725850.4%130 W · 128 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked BIG45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11036040.6%146 W · 214 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed French Flair26c191.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6928240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked BIG45c174.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7348143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked French Flair57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4218542.2%78 W · 107 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed French Flair35c169.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.291,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaebd…04d2backed BIG66c169.08$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.172245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BIG42c164.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9976142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked French Flair62c157.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7255347%260 W · 293 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked French Flair62c156.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7528261%172 W · 110 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed French Flair63c155.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.786245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked French Flair61c153.29$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.962,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd89c…2d1fbacked French Flair65c151.27$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8818159.1%107 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x453d…7accbacked French Flair32c143.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.91154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed French Flair66c138.06$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1874462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked BIG72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2492354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked BIG35c136.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2839940.4%161 W · 238 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed French Flair48c134.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9974250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked BIG64c132.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9315731.2%49 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac7b…7cebbacked French Flair9c125$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.259037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed French Flair56c124.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8516043.1%69 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed French Flair54c123.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0448747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f5…1700backed French Flair70c122.6$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.827451.4%38 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc221…fe97backed French Flair40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.25154.9%28 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed BIG73c112.28$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.654944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed French Flair31c111.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.911,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed French Flair78c109.2$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.071,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed French Flair32c100.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.231,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa655…b10cbacked BIG34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26c7…264fbacked French Flair39c99.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6628040%112 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked French Flair55c97.59$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8244751%228 W · 219 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b17…0c09backed French Flair31c94.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7526750.9%136 W · 131 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked French Flair53c92.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2636946.1%170 W · 199 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked French Flair45c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.579345.4%360 W · 433 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed BIG32c86.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.531,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7c02…502bbacked BIG40c83.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.69683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+74.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked French Flair25c77.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0926844%118 W · 150 L-37.1wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed French Flair50c74.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.522349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed French Flair33c72.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked French Flair25c63.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7613537%50 W · 85 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16d9…f0b0backed French Flair38c62.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.696235.5%22 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked BIG62c59.85$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4841651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed BIG64c53.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2822867.5%154 W · 74 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd36…2eefbacked French Flair46c52.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.184136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.