TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuning: Pavle Marinkov vs Li Tu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Li Tuof Pavle Marinkov, Li Tu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Pavle Marinkov12c6,202$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.91,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Li Tu68c3,809$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.25048%24 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pavle Marinkov9c2,508$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.692,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pavle Marinkov18c2,002$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.068,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Pavle Marinkov8c1,810$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.541,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Pavle Marinkov12c1,781$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.812,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Li Tu73c1,551$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.2620459.3%121 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Pavle Marinkov33c1,454$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.91,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Pavle Marinkov32c1,133$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.6839534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Pavle Marinkov32c1,100$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pavle Marinkov33c1,078$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.547,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Pavle Marinkov32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Li Tu69c999.98$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9946553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Pavle Marinkov18c730.72$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.185552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Pavle Marinkov16c693.57$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.378459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Pavle Marinkov13c691.18$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5280153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Pavle Marinkov17c685.33$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.216365.1%41 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Pavle Marinkov16c684.78$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0117656.3%99 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Pavle Marinkov17c683.06$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8310858.3%63 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pavle Marinkov15c673.4$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.383,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Pavle Marinkov17c653.38$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.374365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Pavle Marinkov17c455.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.538258.5%48 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Li Tu72c435.59$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.435436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Pavle Marinkov30c435.13$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4216029.4%47 W · 113 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Li Tu69c422.93$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.296547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Pavle Marinkov17c419.6$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8123758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Pavle Marinkov10c364.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3840548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Pavle Marinkov29c340.6$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.714,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Pavle Marinkov12c333.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3144946.1%207 W · 242 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Li Tu73c323.65$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.541,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Pavle Marinkov10c318.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4519851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x912a…8b22backed Pavle Marinkov38c317.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.751533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Pavle Marinkov9c307.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7468026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pavle Marinkov17c300.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.439,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Pavle Marinkov19c246.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.465959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Pavle Marinkov15c242.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3810150.5%51 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Pavle Marinkov9c241.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.717945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Pavle Marinkov8c238.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1657953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4c…94fbbacked Pavle Marinkov17c216.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.14520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-69%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Pavle Marinkov17c200.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.026,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Li Tu68c196.16$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.774555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Pavle Marinkov10c170.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5116645.2%75 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Pavle Marinkov32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4829230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Li Tu62c147.76$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.152,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Pavle Marinkov9c145.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.673549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdb…98dbbacked Li Tu62c141.85$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec46…714cbacked Pavle Marinkov15c132.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.911540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Li Tu66c125.03$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.513,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ec…e392backed Pavle Marinkov13c122.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.972548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Pavle Marinkov15c114.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.120836.5%76 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Pavle Marinkov18c98.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2833557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee9…5b88backed Pavle Marinkov32c93.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.021040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pavle Marinkov26c92.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.723,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Li Tu69c91.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.255549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb38…f78dbacked Pavle Marinkov15c75.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Pavle Marinkov32c74.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9815059.3%89 W · 61 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Pavle Marinkov31c71.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1810550.5%53 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Pavle Marinkov34c67.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0924249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Li Tu66c65.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.321,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Pavle Marinkov23c60.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.198740.2%35 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Li Tu65c54.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.191,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Li Tu67c54.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.938754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pavle Marinkov22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.754,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Li Tu68c48.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4322755.1%125 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed Pavle Marinkov33c48.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.882857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked Pavle Marinkov32c44.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.394454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Li Tu65c43.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5295846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd7…e7a5backed Pavle Marinkov31c43.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Li Tu68c42.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.452,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Pavle Marinkov33c39.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8726254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Li Tu67c36.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0788560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Pavle Marinkov33c33.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.925950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410c…15f7backed Pavle Marinkov34c30.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.499856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Li Tu67c29.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5938664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Li Tu68c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.232850%14 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc024…148abacked Li Tu76c25.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb883…3994backed Li Tu70c23.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.221549.8%107 W · 108 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Li Tu67c22.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3675262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a0…c637backed Li Tu69c21.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.472673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked Li Tu62c18.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.25747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Li Tu64c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4817761%108 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Li Tu77c17.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0945051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46ea…d849backed Li Tu68c17.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5416370.6%115 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.