TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked No60c44,127$26,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,475.964238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes40c28,730$11,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,237.751,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c2,528$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.918,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes40c2,410$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4462657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No61c2,241$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.2410155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes41c1,176$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.0413257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed No59c1,144$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9118352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked No64c999.99$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes39c955.14$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.641650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes42c906.3$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.657157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c876.42$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.62,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes41c869.82$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.3133560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes41c869.82$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.3165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes41c869.82$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.3136757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes41c869.82$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.3147756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes41c869.82$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.3141256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes41c869.82$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.3112361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Yes40c530.67$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.591346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes38c525.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.591,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No62c473.22$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1511855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabcc…b1fcbacked Yes41c471.8$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes42c459.62$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5812354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd932…4164backed No25c380.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Yes40c341.26$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.751266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No59c336.34$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2384943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes36c318.05$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.552,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No62c315.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.447955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes43c273.07$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4116255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb2…a30cbacked No20c245.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0180%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes65c237.72$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0728651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No25c210$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.548922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked Yes40c208.95$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.371060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes42c201.56$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.878961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes40c200.75$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4516653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No39c195.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.314824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5462…fe43backed No68c194.44$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.223151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes74c181.33$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3323254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes40c170.82$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.499054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No58c140.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.921,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed Yes38c139.35$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No63c135.13$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.131,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No60c130.13$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.087957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No34c129.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4829362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No63c125.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.31,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No63c125.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.32,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes40c120.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.310750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed No61c120.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.253135.5%11 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No60c108$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.821345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed No59c99.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.995648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No63c99.78$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8651654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes42c92.13$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8820059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No54c87.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Yes37c86.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.561861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Yes30c79.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.662576%19 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed No62c78.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.869447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed No63c77.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.898267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked No64c76.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.929256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Yes40c73.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.964566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes40c72.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3812259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1c…0144backed Yes42c69.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.13557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes40c60.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.158851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes36c56.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes75c56.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0411553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Yes36c53.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.192245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Yes37c51.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.419936.4%36 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Yes40c48.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.355172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95ec…e392backed Yes40c48.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes40c48.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9210943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes65c42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0722…fceebacked No63c40.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee9…5b88backed Yes40c38.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ff…94f0backed Yes38c37.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.422860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Yes75c36.48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.123764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d2a…e360backed Yes40c36.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0941…b254backed No61c33.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b74…1e21backed No62c31.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.552470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Yes38c31.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.541838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No71c29.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.214369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5786…e309backed No60c28.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf870…ae68backed Yes74c26.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No60c26.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.881,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed No60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8d1…1fd7backed No65c24.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No65c22.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3629053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes62c21.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9617857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes70c19.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.896955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c19.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.132,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Yes70c18.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.478858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes75c17.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.528158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed No64c15.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0210365%67 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.