South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Aldosivi vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2366405d1287f8e5de4c5381ac197bf89d3923fe6942a7c4766cb28b3dd273
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 4,532$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.52 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 3,362$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 2,919$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.8 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 52c | 2,015$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.81 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 950.1$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.44 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 50c | 842.54$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.8 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 54c | 736.83$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.87 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…f208backed No | 53c | 525.56$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 375$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 341.42$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.62 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed No | 51c | 283.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked No | 53c | 271.13$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 249.59$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…0723backed No | 53c | 182.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 180$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 170.25$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed No | 53c | 164.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 13c | 147$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 66c | 125.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…5211backed No | 53c | 121.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked No | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 96.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 24c | 95.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…9086backed No | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f97…cc35backed No | 53c | 92.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed No | 53c | 91.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…5071backed No | 53c | 77.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked No | 52c | 73.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…6a9bbacked No | 53c | 73.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 72.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 71.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 47c | 70.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 66c | 69.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe435…affbbacked No | 53c | 63.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…be0dbacked No | 51c | 60.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…27e6backed No | 52c | 55.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked No | 51c | 54.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed No | 23c | 54.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 36c | 53.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 29c | 49.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed No | 51c | 42.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…3efbbacked No | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 55c | 38.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c5…6e22backed No | 53c | 37.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 44c | 36.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…40e2backed No | 52c | 33.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 53c | 33.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 48c | 29.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0ad8backed No | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bc…ea6abacked No | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…e9fabacked No | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…f46dbacked No | 53c | 27.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 49c | 27.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 47c | 25.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 66c | 22.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 67c | 21.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 66c | 20.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…6327backed No | 53c | 20.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…1bfabacked No | 52c | 19.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes | 59c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 68c | 18.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Yes | 77c | 18.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Yes | 74c | 17.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 74c | 14.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Aldosivi vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.