Serie A · resolved market
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf14e02fc4e7ea4e94cf1ae13d9b639cdb40e7a5cdeb7e65fea008eae82e853f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 6,365$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.14 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 3,575$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.87 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…f8d2backed Yes | 14c | 1,821$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 7c | 1,679$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 948.77$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 488$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Yes | 13c | 372.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 13c | 210.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 14c | 205.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 14c | 199.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 178.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…089bbacked Yes | 19c | 111$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 31cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.