Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6d7088373394c7458d3ff383e09e3fee7ba910de12d9300fba79f7a774b8ad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $381,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 0c | 65,620$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 8c | 9,207$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.92 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…97b0backed Yes | 6c | 3,833$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Yes | 6c | 3,702$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…d960backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 1c | 2,125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 1,483$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 1,433$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 7c | 1,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 8c | 1,045$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…b033backed Yes | 7c | 928.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…1036backed Yes | 6c | 821.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 6c | 655$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 4c | 417.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked Yes | 5c | 416.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 7c | 393.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 6c | 320.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…f8c7backed Yes | 7c | 319$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…8a24backed Yes | 7c | 271.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…1002backed Yes | 6c | 249$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 6c | 216.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…835dbacked Yes | 9c | 185.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…d702backed Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…b2ecbacked Yes | 7c | 143.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.