TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UC Davis Aggies vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cal State Fullerton Titansof UC Davis Aggies, Cal State Fullerton Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,078 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb78…5206backed UC Davis Aggies49c4,108$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002737%10 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans34c3,283$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.783,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Cal State Fullerton Titans12c3,052$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.1422043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans54c2,991$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked UC Davis Aggies46c2,956$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.7637441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans23c2,696$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.115,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed UC Davis Aggies1c2,300$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked UC Davis Aggies79c1,850$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.7749345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans64c1,697$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.71,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed UC Davis Aggies70c1,318$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.7334943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans34c1,136$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.441,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Cal State Fullerton Titans52c1,093$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.181,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Cal State Fullerton Titans52c902.7$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.1431646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8082…4d66backed UC Davis Aggies79c787.48$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Cal State Fullerton Titans29c600$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.85939%23 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Cal State Fullerton Titans19c564.3$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.33145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans53c551.21$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.111,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans51c499.02$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.5281453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cal State Fullerton Titans29c449.16$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.884,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cal State Fullerton Titans43c420$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.391,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UC Davis Aggies59c410.68$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.682,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans51c368.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.862,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UC Davis Aggies77c336$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.721,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Cal State Fullerton Titans6c333.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.3314930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UC Davis Aggies47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e0…0d61backed UC Davis Aggies29c300$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed UC Davis Aggies49c285.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans53c267.62$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.788353%44 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UC Davis Aggies69c264.72$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.573,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed UC Davis Aggies73c249.58$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b56…b99abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans70c248.91$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick73cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Cal State Fullerton Titans52c242.38$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.581,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed UC Davis Aggies49c241$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0978052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed UC Davis Aggies47c225.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8213840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UC Davis Aggies48c223.59$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.322,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed UC Davis Aggies78c210$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.89845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed UC Davis Aggies48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed UC Davis Aggies48c207.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked UC Davis Aggies49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.851,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans24c176$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.761,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Cal State Fullerton Titans66c168$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.642,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Cal State Fullerton Titans67c149$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1722157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Cal State Fullerton Titans22c148.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1270936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked UC Davis Aggies49c144$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023054.3%125 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed UC Davis Aggies79c126.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed UC Davis Aggies50c116$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3919238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans52c114$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.722544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked UC Davis Aggies49c114$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.862152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Cal State Fullerton Titans12c105$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.433,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e0…84d1backed UC Davis Aggies49c105$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c68…c23ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans52c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans20c103.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.991,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked UC Davis Aggies49c102.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans54c102$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8684854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Cal State Fullerton Titans14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8653635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6f…5439backed UC Davis Aggies49c92.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans20c90.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.722240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…69a1backed Cal State Fullerton Titans53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans36c72.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.431,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans53c65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65263.5%33 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Cal State Fullerton Titans52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans61c59.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.361968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed UC Davis Aggies68c56.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.618557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x735b…acb1backed UC Davis Aggies65c55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed UC Davis Aggies80c51.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.552353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd754…c9a6backed UC Davis Aggies79c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed UC Davis Aggies20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103517.1%6 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3483…2c80backed Cal State Fullerton Titans35c49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed UC Davis Aggies44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Cal State Fullerton Titans34c42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7633445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked UC Davis Aggies49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Cal State Fullerton Titans67c39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8727055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed UC Davis Aggies48c37.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.116140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Cal State Fullerton Titans51c32.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7821937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UC Davis Aggies46c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.342,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x049e…55b1backed UC Davis Aggies79c24.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.275168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed UC Davis Aggies63c24.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.111,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed UC Davis Aggies47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2819860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cal State Fullerton Titans52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.041,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed UC Davis Aggies73c22.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4530945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked UC Davis Aggies49c22.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x839f…5f1fbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans51c19.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.612842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked UC Davis Aggies66c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5431666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed UC Davis Aggies79c18.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbe…993abacked UC Davis Aggies70c17.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.56154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked UC Davis Aggies79c12.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2114171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.