Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db299e57d3e10ae4b33f03ab753983e60690db9ecbb88ee82ca6c164f7b5ce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 46c | 3,267$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.22 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 55c | 1,600$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.78 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 1,085$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.27 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 54c | 511.5$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 47c | 468.22$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.06 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 448.61$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.85 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 44c | 311.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 54c | 278.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 55c | 271.72$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…8188backed Yes | 53c | 219.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 46c | 211.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 192.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 54c | 183$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 130.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 53c | 111.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 47c | 110.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 53c | 110.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 54c | 92.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 53c | 89.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 56c | 88.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 71.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 47c | 68.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 46c | 43.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 47c | 38.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 23.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…20d5backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…f87cbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: FC Twente '65 O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)FC Twente '65 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.