Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f90c47223bd46ba5f9641b397a5cac061dac2a1b8a7d51f96d8b9449d35630
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferencvárosi TCof FC Twente '65, Ferencvárosi TC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ferencvárosi TC | 77c | 3,546$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.87 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Twente '65 | 26c | 2,292$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.3 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Twente '65 | 29c | 1,593$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.39 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Ferencvárosi TC | 63c | 1,583$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.61 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked FC Twente '65 | 38c | 682.84$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.48 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FC Twente '65 | 31c | 647.12$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ferencvárosi TC | 79c | 579.4$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed FC Twente '65 | 38c | 465.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.06 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed FC Twente '65 | 38c | 399.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 69c | 333$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked FC Twente '65 | 37c | 256$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 61c | 216.38$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FC Twente '65 | 39c | 204.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Ferencvárosi TC | 76c | 182.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Ferencvárosi TC | 68c | 181.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Ferencvárosi TC | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed FC Twente '65 | 22c | 160.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Ferencvárosi TC | 65c | 150.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 70c | 126.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 77c | 119$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC Twente '65 | 20c | 109.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…0bb6backed FC Twente '65 | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed Ferencvárosi TC | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed FC Twente '65 | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Ferencvárosi TC | 64c | 47.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed FC Twente '65 | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Twente '65 | 37c | 39.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…88d2backed Ferencvárosi TC | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Twente '65 | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…ab75backed Ferencvárosi TC | 79c | 30.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Ferencvárosi TC | 79c | 21.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Ferencvárosi TC | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Ferencvárosi TC | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: FC Twente '65 O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)FC Twente '65 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.