College Football · resolved market
Kentucky vs. Georgia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x492255ca5b0fa2993470c09423573bd3275c4bcc0d9b9d4cd8a34626026af510
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgiaof Kentucky, Georgia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Kentucky | 10c | 50,600$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.13 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kentucky | 9c | 33,842$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.99 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Kentucky | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Kentucky | 8c | 15,350$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.01 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kentucky | 8c | 7,036$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.91 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Kentucky | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Kentucky | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Kentucky | 10c | 890$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kentucky | 8c | 879.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kentucky | 2c | 581$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kentucky | 9c | 555$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kentucky | 4c | 540.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…9b21backed Kentucky | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Kentucky | 5c | 400.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Kentucky | 7c | 279.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kentucky | 9c | 250.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…9950backed Kentucky | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Kentucky | 10c | 223$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Kentucky | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4a…ffaebacked Kentucky | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Kentucky | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Kentucky | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked Kentucky | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Kentucky | 8c | 193.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kentucky vs. Georgiathis page
- O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia (-20.5)Georgia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.