Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Team from East wins March Madness 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x091f0aec4e3f5b71036121513cf9ee6bb2a99f50367765867a020294d4fce2eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 36c | 13,284$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,534.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed No | 64c | 2,913$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed No | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 66c | 2,200$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 64c | 2,066$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.87 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 27c | 1,072$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.56 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 65c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd279…e09dbacked Yes | 30c | 395.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 37c | 338$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 73c | 222$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.06 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…a540backed Yes | 64c | 111.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…d1e3backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…385bbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team from East wins March Madness 2024?this page
- Team from Midwest wins March Madness 2024?No won
- Team from South wins March Madness 2024?No won
- Team from West wins March Madness 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.