Earnings · resolved market
Will Neogen (NEOG) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4adb9043d555e5f676d2b465d4f4acddede52d6352edbab7bf2422aae03c4d4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 10,101$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…de77backed No | 73c | 695.16$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed Yes | 6c | 639.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 73c | 549.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…9a10backed Yes | 39c | 528.85$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…38cabacked Yes | 36c | 480.19$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 26c | 445.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 12c | 399.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…9593backed Yes | 32c | 383.83$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.13 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 62c | 294.09$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…9ac0backed Yes | 16c | 263.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 10c | 175$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 578 | 38.9%225 W · 353 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2296…f651backed No | 68c | 174.03$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 58c | 148.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 35c | 136.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed No | 78c | 128.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 57c | 125.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 43c | 94.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…363fbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed59…1afbbacked Yes | 38c | 42.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 39c | 36.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…1267backed No | 69c | 29.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab4…f99bbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.