Champions League · resolved market
Will AC Milan beat Club Brugge?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x710aba2c61e16b197e3dc0a2e1c8682f5af286e1de249170f381eda6123dbed1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0f0…c92bbacked Yes | 62c | 9,000$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d5…9f5abacked No | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,808$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.88 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 30c | 1,750$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.98 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 67c | 1,581$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.78 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 31c | 1,555$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.03 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 27c | 1,061$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 73c | 1,051$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.31 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e9…8b5bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,051$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 33c | 816.4$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.17 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked No | 36c | 481.17$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…3e76backed Yes | 70c | 431.74$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 70c | 381.11$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 72c | 372.3$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed No | 27c | 369.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked No | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…a85bbacked No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 71c | 297.39$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…3d23backed Yes | 71c | 293$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed No | 28c | 292.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked No | 28c | 275$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Yes | 72c | 275$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2e…745cbacked No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Yes | 70c | 186.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…33c0backed Yes | 69c | 153.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Yes | 72c | 144.32$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 70c | 143.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Yes | 73c | 139.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Yes | 70c | 136.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…806ebacked Yes | 73c | 135.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…2891backed No | 30c | 127$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 72c | 113.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…be30backed No | 31c | 109.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 69c | 100.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 71c | 92.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 69c | 84.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 31c | 71.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…1032backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…456ebacked Yes | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…3990backed No | 32c | 37.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…07d3backed Yes | 70c | 37.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2240…115ebacked No | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…aac5backed Yes | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd821…1e8bbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…9f3cbacked Yes | 69c | 26.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dec…75a6backed Yes | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…bdb0backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…ad80backed Yes | 73c | 18.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…8d58backed Yes | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…674fbacked Yes | 72c | 14.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan beat Club Brugge?this page
- Will Club Brugge beat AC Milan?No won
- Will the match between AC Milan and Club Brugge end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.