Token Launches · resolved market
Will Binance or Bybit list $MOODENG by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1ad53950ce6650a38412ff1bebe6fde71360593697a7a73e00e52856ae1353c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b03…ac9bbacked Yes | 7c | 6,102$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…15efbacked Yes | 1c | 2,388$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 5c | 1,899$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 32c | 1,450$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.79 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…2d7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,218$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…dd58backed Yes | 5c | 1,124$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…70eabacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed No | 76c | 998.24$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.27 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…c539backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +235.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…a087backed Yes | 20c | 486.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 12c | 399.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 15c | 338.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…e7e3backed No | 64c | 273.84$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…8e05backed Yes | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…4936backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…9b62backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…9df2backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…473bbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…ee8dbacked No | 64c | 155.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2216…4accbacked Yes | 24c | 144.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa411…64aebacked Yes | 23c | 131.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 30c | 125.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked No | 78c | 115.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…4ecbbacked Yes | 36c | 104.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…d432backed Yes | 12c | 101.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c85…2db4backed Yes | 11c | 90.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…a01bbacked Yes | 15c | 87.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…836cbacked No | 56c | 55.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…328bbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…ee0bbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c96…e71fbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…88bebacked No | 79c | 25.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…2053backed No | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…f087backed Yes | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed8…5bc6backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3e…ee8fbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646d…d31fbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d2…b978backed No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…91a0backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…49babacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…b02cbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.