TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Rangers40c7,064$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,227.835545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights45c6,000$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,718.485148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Golden Knights59c3,200$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88831849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers42c3,155$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.251,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Golden Knights63c3,153$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Golden Knights46c2,699$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.0428842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…3b85backed Rangers50c2,495$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.911275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers39c2,252$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.71,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Rangers38c2,027$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.4631334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Golden Knights63c1,989$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.162147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers43c1,951$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.351,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Golden Knights58c1,710$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Rangers70c1,246$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.656953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rangers42c1,217$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.8620147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers38c1,167$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.4592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights59c1,000$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5951,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights60c1,000$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.331,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1b…cc3abacked Rangers40c799.98$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1358…1af4backed Golden Knights61c799.77$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.861457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers38c756.64$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.1275155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Golden Knights63c720.3$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.6412955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Rangers70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2918144.8%81 W · 100 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Rangers40c698.11$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.6841851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Golden Knights61c650$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.513361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Rangers45c633.69$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.794045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Rangers46c585.95$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.538950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Golden Knights62c520.18$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.888720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Golden Knights58c510.3$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Rangers38c500$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.54742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Golden Knights59c472.07$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.528870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7684…4d2dbacked Rangers27c449.66$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.261258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Rangers40c408.07$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5147249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Golden Knights62c396.53$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa6…d3eabacked Golden Knights59c363.54$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.49850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights67c350$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200e…e239backed Rangers45c333.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Golden Knights59c316.47$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.723754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Golden Knights61c267.1$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.082638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights8c255$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.857450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Rangers41c241$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4458346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers42c216$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Golden Knights58c216$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2848654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Golden Knights12c209.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Rangers38c204.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Golden Knights21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights55c179.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.51,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2400…f2b7backed Rangers45c179.09$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x207a…6fecbacked Golden Knights58c173.38$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Golden Knights59c159.97$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9819347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Golden Knights64c155.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.988744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Golden Knights51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.85046%23 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Golden Knights59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Golden Knights60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…2f6cbacked Golden Knights61c99.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7fbf…2c1dbacked Rangers42c95.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafc3…fe54backed Rangers42c90.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rangers37c90.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06b7…1271backed Rangers42c88.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Golden Knights60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94d…4f47backed Rangers42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+166.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2220…3868backed Golden Knights61c82.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22d…e35dbacked Rangers39c73.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.281844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Rangers38c69.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.388440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf4…be2fbacked Golden Knights58c67.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Golden Knights61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661a…e2babacked Golden Knights58c65.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2439…f97fbacked Golden Knights58c65.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5808…154bbacked Rangers40c65.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.222433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers55c62.37$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0b…f974backed Golden Knights62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.91758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa34e…6fc4backed Golden Knights58c55.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b1…aaadbacked Rangers73c54.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc5…9819backed Golden Knights58c53.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Golden Knights59c53.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5773157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e1…ad39backed Golden Knights58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights59c50.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed Golden Knights58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c2…173abacked Rangers40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Golden Knights51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.513846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Golden Knights62c48.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Rangers46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4810255.9%57 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Golden Knights59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48ce…ebd5backed Rangers40c42.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Golden Knights62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e09…504ebacked Rangers40c39.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c7…6d3ebacked Golden Knights60c39.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c03…102ebacked Golden Knights54c38.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe483…173dbacked Rangers40c38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a31…6d34backed Rangers39c37.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+120.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad42…65f8backed Rangers40c36.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7519…1ddcbacked Rangers40c35.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84a…6a94backed Golden Knights61c35.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…2606backed Golden Knights61c33.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f02…9757backed Rangers39c33.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48af…15e2backed Rangers68c32.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde63…7223backed Golden Knights61c32.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed9…1ababacked Golden Knights62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c3…e582backed Golden Knights60c31.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights53c31.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8166951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.